Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.127233 0.141554 0.156217 0.172313 0.189447 0.207101 0.226630
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.110768 0.130762 0.151980 0.176042 0.202445 0.230411 0.262150
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.097053 0.120906 0.147041 0.177522 0.211824 0.248976 0.292003
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.085052 0.111583 0.141542 0.177391 0.218651 0.264216 0.317901
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.075799 0.104448 0.137721 0.178471 0.226316 0.280044 0.344280
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.066964 0.096954 0.132766 0.177620 0.231278 0.292476 0.366621
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.061580 0.093169 0.131821 0.181167 0.241131 0.310396 0.395225
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.055615 0.088099 0.128856 0.181897 0.247353 0.323904 0.418627
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.050135 0.083178 0.125679 0.182026 0.252590 0.336074 0.440370
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.044781 0.077962 0.121739 0.180867 0.255990 0.345869 0.459187
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.040950 0.074527 0.119861 0.182111 0.262201 0.358953 0.481893
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.038721 0.073190 0.120639 0.186685 0.272533 0.377049 0.510684
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.034858 0.069252 0.117803 0.186559 0.277082 0.388355 0.531719
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.032545 0.067463 0.117804 0.190116 0.286312 0.405474 0.559939
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.029765 0.064699 0.116247 0.191435 0.292569 0.418868 0.583628
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.026791 0.061350 0.113636 0.191146 0.296608 0.429418 0.603800
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.024453 0.058832 0.112078 0.192184 0.302313 0.442038 0.626556
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.021836 0.055577 0.109216 0.191230 0.305247 0.451062 0.644799
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.020543 0.054546 0.109654 0.194911 0.314386 0.468048 0.673089
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.018702 0.052328 0.108119 0.195651 0.319478 0.479795 0.694792
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.016895 0.049979 0.106234 0.195770 0.323647 0.490313 0.714938
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.014991 0.047220 0.103527 0.194544 0.325869 0.498233 0.731758
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.013716 0.045593 0.102565 0.195842 0.331546 0.510669 0.754373